Development and Reform Commission Li Junfeng: China's Coal Consumption Overdraft Ten Year Index

On December 28th, Li Junfeng, deputy director of the Energy Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission, pointed out in his speech that China’s modern economic development is facing tremendous pressure for energy conservation and emission reduction. When the first “Eleventh Five-Year Plan” version is formulated in 2003, it is expected that the The country’s coal consumption amounted to 3 billion tons, but it actually reached its original goal of 2020 already last year.

Li Junfeng made such a statement at the 2010 annual meeting of the Zheshang National Council held in Hangzhou today. He pointed out that when the first edition of the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan” was formulated in 2003, coal consumption in China was expected to reach 2.4 billion tons by 2010 and 3 billion by 2020, but in fact coal consumption in 2007 reached 2 billion tons. As of last year, it has exceeded 3 billion tons. In other words, the target set for 2020 was reached in 10 years in advance.

In fact, the actual amount of coal consumed in China is constantly hitting record highs each year. According to the analysis of the domestic and international economic and social development trends during the “12th Five-Year Plan” period, Chang Bing Bing, Director of the Development Planning Department of the National Energy Administration, predicted that China’s coal consumption amounted to 3.7 billion tons in 2015, and some officials from the National Development and Reform Commission Energy Institute considered the above data. Being conservative, it is expected that coal consumption will reach about 6.2 billion tons in 2020 or so.

In addition, Li Junfeng pointed out in his speech that in the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan”, the energy-related goal is to reduce the energy consumption per unit of GDP by 40% to 45%. “In the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan” period, China’s energy intensity is reduced by 20%, so this goal can be achieved. However, if it does not reach the “12th Five-Year” 40% to 45%, the international community may have to Comments."

He believes that China’s awareness of energy saving and emission reduction is too strong and therefore has assumed more international obligations. “In terms of climate change, we (energy saving and emission reduction indicators) are almost the first, but the growing pressure on the international development space requires more commitments from the international community. Modern development is facing The pressure of energy saving and emission reduction actually means that we have done the past 55 years in five years."

Regarding the development of new energy fields in the future, Li Junfeng believes that the leaders of the central and local governments need to look far ahead and recognize the necessity of developing new energy sources. Reducing the use of coal is a must for the development of new energy, and the development of new energy sources such as wind power and hydropower. More is not an exaggeration.

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