Abstract According to media reports, "China Economic Weekly" and the Ministry of Commerce Credit Rating and Certification Center jointly issued the "2012 China's real economic development report" revealed that the operation of the real economy, 20 major industries of view, by the infrastructure and real estate investments on the decline Influence by factors, etc...
According to media reports, China Economic Weekly and the Ministry of Commerce's Credit Rating and Certification Center jointly released the "2012 China Real Economy Development Report" disclosed that from the operation of the 20 major industries in the real economy, the infrastructure and real estate investment have shrunk. Factors affecting the production of raw materials, including steel, nonferrous metals, building materials and chemicals, are in a sluggish situation. Overcapacity problems are highlighted. Some industries are on the margin of industry-wide losses; and due to factors such as equipment investment cycle and export shrinkage, the equipment manufacturing economy The operation is in an unprecedented downturn, with as many as one-third of the main products producing a different degree of decline year-on-year. Slow and steady trend throughout the year
According to the statistics of the National Bureau of Statistics, from January to November 2012, the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 10.0% year-on-year. It is expected that the annual growth rate will be around 10%, which is nearly 4 percentage points lower than last year's 13.9%. . Among them, the added value of light industry and heavy industry increased by 10.2% and 9.8% respectively, and the growth rate dropped by 2.8 and 4.6 percentage points respectively.
From the perspective of efficiency, from January to October, the profits of the industrial enterprises above designated size reached a profit of 420 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.5%; the profit rate of the main business income decreased from 6.04% in the same period last year to 5.46%.
From the perspective of the industry, steel, building materials, photovoltaic solar, wind power, shipbuilding, textile, electronic information and other industries are difficult to operate, and some industries are even on the verge of overall losses.
On the whole, in 2012, the world economic recovery is still difficult and tortuous. The Chinese economy has entered a period of adjustment. Due to the overall downward trend of the macro economy at home and abroad, the downward pressure on China's real economy has increased, and the difficulties in production and operation have increased.
Eight major entities enter the "severe winter"
Since 2012, due to the weakening demand in the international market, the slowdown in domestic market demand, and the excessive price difference between domestic and foreign cotton, China's textile industry has experienced a downward trend in production, production growth has slowed down, and export volume has decreased. The efficiency of enterprises has declined, and the losses at the front end of the industrial chain (cotton spinning, chemical fiber) have increased.
Domestic and international demand and lack of confidence in the market outlook are still the most important issues at present. Judging from the current international economic situation, there will still be uncertainty in China's textile and apparel exports next year.
In 2012, due to the combination of various factors such as the downturn in the real estate market and the exit of old-fashioned home appliances, the development of the household appliance industry was more severe: the market performance was weak, and the growth rate of major economic indicators slowed down. The number falls back to single digits.
From January to September in the shipbuilding industry, the nation's shipbuilding completion volume was 41.58 million DWT, down 18.5% year-on-year, of which the sea ship was 12.36 million revised gross tons; the newly-accepted ship order volume was 15.41 million DWT, down 46.9% year-on-year. Revised gross tonnage for 6.32 million.
Affected by the continued sluggish international shipping market, the shrinking volume of new ships in the international shipping market has not improved.
Steel Industry In 2012, the steel industry entered its most difficult year since the 21st century. Affected by the slowdown in international and domestic economic growth, the steel industry's production and operation fell into a trough.
The release of crude steel production capacity accelerated, steel demand growth was slow, metallurgical raw material prices remained high, steel prices continued to fall, corporate costs remained high, total profit fell sharply, and industry operations became more difficult. According to the statistics of the China Iron and Steel Association, from January to July, the profits and losses of member steel companies were only 700 million yuan, and the loss was as high as 33.8%. After deducting investment income, the whole industry's main business was in a net loss.
The rare earth industry was affected by weak domestic and international market demand and accelerated domestic restructuring of the rare earth industry and industrial integration. The rare earth industry was in a low tide period, and the price of rare earth continued to fall.
According to financial data, from January to September, Baotou Steel's rare earth operating income was 8.262 billion yuan, down 18.12% year-on-year; net profit was 1.689 billion yuan, down 46.01% year-on-year.
The cement industry was affected by infrastructure and real estate investment. The problem of overcapacity in the entire building materials industry was highlighted. The growth rate of production dropped sharply, product prices continued to fall, and corporate profits fell significantly. Among them, the cement industry is the most. According to China Cement Network data, in the first half of 2012, the building materials industry realized a profit of 140.3 billion yuan, down 9% year-on-year. Among them, the cement industry realized a profit of 22.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 51.4%.
In the new energy industry in 2012, emerging industries such as polysilicon, wind power equipment, and new materials have a tendency to overcapacity, and large forgings also have concerns about overcapacity.
The most obvious is the photovoltaic industry. Because of the impact of the European debt crisis, the European market, which accounts for 80% of global PV demand, has shrunk sharply. In addition, the United States has successively imposed countervailing duties and anti-dumping duties on China's photovoltaic products in the first half of the year, which has caused the entire photovoltaic industry to fall into turmoil.
The situation in the wind power industry is also not optimistic. According to public data, the current overcapacity rate of the domestic wind power industry is above 50%. The domestic wind turbine price has dropped from more than 6,200 yuan per kilowatt in 2008 to the current 3,500 yuan, and the company's profit margin is less than 10%.
The electronics industry has been significantly affected by the shrinking demand in the international market. Since the beginning of this year, China's electronic exports have continued to grow at a low rate. From January to September, the industry achieved revenue of 604.29 billion yuan, an increase of 8.8%; profit of 195.2 billion yuan, down 6.5%. There are 4015 loss-making enterprises in the whole industry, with a loss of 23%.
In the short run, the recovery in the European and American markets is still difficult. China's electronic information products exports will also face greater pressure.
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