On the morning of March 7, the Press Center of the Fifth Session of the Eleventh National People's Congress held a press conference at the multi-purpose hall of the Media Center. Minister of Commerce Chen Deming answered questions from Chinese and foreign journalists on issues related to "expanding consumption to promote circulation and developing foreign trade". Some reporters asked about the foreign trade situation this year and foreign trade initiatives. In January this year, China's import and export growth rate both fell, reaching a new low in two years. At the same time, Premier Wen Jiabao stated in the "Government Work Report" that the target of foreign trade growth is set at around 10%. The reporter can ask questions about whether he can achieve this goal. What measures do we have this year in terms of stabilizing growth, adjusting structure and promoting balance? Chen Deming said that in order to achieve such a goal, we should start working on several aspects. First, we must stabilize growth, second, we must adjust the structure, and third, we must promote balance. He said that the current export tax rebate should remain basically stable, even if there are fine-tuning, it is more encouraging policies than restrictive policies. In response to a reporter's question, Chen Deming said that there was some negative growth in foreign trade in January this year, but this is because of the relationship with the festival. Last year's Spring Festival was in February, and this year's Spring Festival was in January, so we combined the January and February. It may be more accurate to look at the situation together. However, the overall trend is as reported by reporters. Since August last year, our export has seen a month-on-month decline. In August last year, we also increased by more than 27%. Last December, our foreign trade growth was only about 12%. . The final final data for January and February this year will be published according to the customs. Our own preliminary forecast, together with January and February, can increase the import and export by about 7%, and the export can still maintain at 7%. Imports may be higher. some. So overall, we are still showing a small increase this year, and it is possible that the situation will be better in the second half of the year, and the growth will be better. The reason for the decline in the growth rate of such a foreign trade is mainly due to the overall tightening of the internal and external environment of foreign trade development. The international financial crisis is still deepening and spreading. Especially the problem of European debt has affected the consumption of Europe, etc. I also have various factors that drive up costs and so on. Therefore, we estimate that this year's foreign trade to achieve the goal of a 10% annual increase in the "Government Work Report" proposed by Premier Wen is achievable, but it can also be achieved through hard work. In order to achieve such a goal, we should start working on several aspects. First, we must stabilize growth, second, we must adjust the structure, and third, we must promote balance. The so-called steady growth must maintain stable growth of foreign trade and maintain the basic stability of current foreign trade policies. For example, our current export tax rebate must remain basically stable, even if there are fine-tuning, it is more encouraging policies than restrictive policies. In addition, we must speed up the export tax rebate. Our RMB exchange rate is already in a reasonable range, and it should be kept at a stable level while increasing its flexibility. Processing trade accounts for more than 40% of our trade volume, and we must keep the processing trade policy basically stable. In general, we must reduce the tax burden of foreign trade enterprises and increase their financial support. Second, continue to adjust the structure of foreign trade and accelerate the transformation of the way of foreign trade development. Our Ministry of Commerce and the other nine brother departments and ten ministries have recently had a special guidance to promote the transformation of foreign trade development mode, and there is a specific policy measure. Because of the time, I will not elaborate here. The third is to promote the balance of foreign trade. While stabilizing exports, we must continue to encourage imports, including advanced technology, key equipment, and important raw materials. We must also import some consumer goods that have market and demand, so that we and some major Trade in the country of trade surplus will be more balanced. We also need to set up some platforms to allow more underdeveloped countries and emerging countries to come to China to conduct trade business. The balance of our foreign trade has been declining year after year. By last year, the total volume of foreign trade has reached more than 3.6 trillion, which is only a few tens of billions of dollars. However, our surplus is only more than 150 billion, accounting for only 2.1% of GDP. Of course, the deficit of the largest country is very large, reaching more than 7.3 billion, accounting for 4.8% of its GDP. In the G20 reference guide, the United States It is hoped that countries will control the proportion of trade balance to GDP within 4%, so China has not only participated in this discussion, but also made very good practice, which has been declining year by year. Now we only trade 2.1%.
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